US Policy and India’s Technology Growth

US policy is increasingly focused on curbing India’s rise in technology and manufacturing sectors, as articulated by intellectual property attorney and author Navroop Singh. In his sharp analysis, Singh discusses how recent actions, including changes to visa policies and trade relations, are part of a broader strategy.

Historical Context of US Economic Strategy

In a comprehensive post on X (formerly Twitter), Singh traced the roots of America’s economic strategy to the late 1980s and 1990s. During this time, the US positioned China as its manufacturing base while relegating India to a service support role. This shift occurred after India signed the Information Technology Agreement and various service accords during President Bill Clinton’s 1997 visit.

Impact on India’s Talent Pool

Singh asserts that this approach diverted India’s extensive STEM talent towards IT services and software, hindering the development of a robust hardware and product ecosystem. The introduction of the H-1B visa program in 1990 further solidified this dynamic, allowing American companies to attract skilled foreign workers, with India supplying over 70% of these professionals.

Singh indicated that the US absorbed India’s top talent in sectors like technology and healthcare, enriching American corporate wealth while confining India to a subservient role in the tech industry. He pointed out that while concerns regarding H-1B misuse have been raised—particularly “bodyshopping” practices—recent increases in visa application fees during Donald Trump’s presidency exemplify attempts to restrict the flow of Indian expertise.

Concerns Over India’s Advances

Singh raised significant worries within US strategic circles regarding India’s rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and product design, along with initiatives like the Atmanirbhar Bharat and PLI schemes. He compared this trajectory to China’s earlier economic ascent, where it capitalised on foreign technology before achieving self-sufficiency in key sectors.

Shifting Dynamics in US-Indian Relations

Singh noted that Washington had envisioned India primarily as an ally in services, but now faces the reality of India progressing toward greater product manufacturing and strategic independence—factors that the US views as threats to its hegemony. He expressed concern that US policymakers fear India could replicate China’s model of vertical integration, a scenario exacerbated by potential collaboration with Beijing.

Additionally, Singh suggested that Trump’s recent proposals for a “G2” relationship with China indicate a move to obstruct vital raw materials and technology transfers to India, reminiscent of American pressures on Russia in the 1990s regarding cryogenic engine technology crucial to India’s space ambitions.

Conclusion: Implications for India’s Economic Future

Singh warned that the US aims to prevent India from becoming another China. He stated that Washington is systematically targeting India’s economy as part of its strategy to retain dominance in the global landscape.